My Forecast ( September 28-October 1 )
ALERT For Cold Night-time Conditions In Mountain Valleys, With Frost And Local Freezing Conditions By Sunday & Monday Mornings ( October 1-2 ).
While foggy river valleys and exposed mountain ridges-plateaus will remain well above freezing, a very dry air mass + clear skies sets the stage for a large vertical temperature difference to form during coming days. Coldest valleys in higher elevations may dip into the 30s by Friday and/or Saturday mornings, but the coldest and most widespread chill is expected Sunday & Monday mornings when 30s will become widespread in mountain valleys ( with 20s in coldest valleys of the High Knob Massif-Burkes Garden areas ).
Overnight Into Thursday Morning
Becoming partly to mostly cloudy by morning. Cloud bases dropping onto highest mountain ridges. NNW-NNE winds at 5-15 mph, with higher gusts, along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges. Areas of dense river valley fog. Temps varying from upper 40s to lower 50s in cooler mountain valleys to the low-mid 60s.
Thursday Morning Through The Afternoon
Mostly cloudy. Turning cooler. Small chance of showers or sprinkles. NNW to N winds 5 to 10 mph, with some higher gusts. Temps varying from lower 60s in upper elevations to the upper 60s to lower 70s, dropping by mid-late afternoon into the 50s at upper elevations and the lower-middle 60s at elevations of Norton-Wise.
Thursday Night Into Friday Morning
Becoming partly to mostly clear. N-NNE winds 5-10 mph, with some higher gusts, on mid-upper elevation mountain ridges. Chilly. Temperatures dropping into the lower 40s to lower 50s, except 30s in coldest mountain valleys ( above 2500-3000 feet ) in the Cumberland-Allegheny mountains.
Partly to mostly sunny ( deep blue skies ). NNW-N winds at 5-10 mph, with some higher gusts. Temperatures varying from mid-upper 50s in upper elevations to the mid 60s to around 70 degrees ( warmer south into the Great Valley ).
Friday Night Into Saturday Morning
Partly cloudy. Chilly. NNW-NNE winds 5-10 mph, with higher gusts, on middle-upper elevation mountain ridges. Temperatures varying from 30s in colder mountain valleys to the lower 40s to around 50 degrees. Wind chills in the upper 30s to low 40s along high ridges.
Sunny. Deep blue skies. Cool. NNE-NE winds 5-10 mph, with some higher gusts. Temperatures varying from lower to middle 50s in upper elevations to the middle-upper 60s.
Saturday Night Into Sunday Morning
Clear. Cold. Winds becoming SE at 5-10 mph, with higher gusts, along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges. Temps varying from upper 20s to lower 30s in coldest mountain valleys to the mid-upper 40s on exposed ridges.
A frontal boundary will be crossing the mountains during Friday Night into Saturday Morning, with any initial clouds expected to give way to deep blue skies during Saturday.
High Knob Naturalist Rally Forecast – Updated
Saturday – September 30
Partly cloudy to clear morning conditions are expected with NNE winds at 5-15 mph ( the higher wind speeds being at the High Knob Lookout ). Morning temperatures in the low-mid 40s will rise into the lower-middle 50s by afternoon.
9:00 AM at High Knob Lookout – Mostly Sunny. NNE to NE winds at 5-15 mph, with higher gusts. Temperatures in the middle 40s. Wind chills in the 30s to lower 40s.
3:00 PM at High Knob Lake – Sunny. Gorgeous blue skies. NNE winds 5-10 mph. Max temp 56-58 degrees at 2:30 to 3:00 PM, dropping quickly after 4:30 to 5:00 PM.