062518 Forecast

Mountain Area Headlines ( June 25-30 )

ALERT For The Potential Of Heavy-Excessive Rainfall Monday Along With A Chance Of A Few Strong-Locally Severe Thunderstorms

A high amount of atmospheric moisture is expected to support multiple waves of showers and downpours in thunderstorms through Monday.  Locations with training storms, or prolonged heavy rainfall will be at risk for high water problems.  Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your favorite media sources for possible watches and/or warning which may be needed.  

Storm Prediction Center Risk Regions Through Monday ( June 25 )

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk For Severe Thunderstorms Through Monday and during Wednesday ( June 25 and June 27 ).

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected as a heat ridge builds into and across the region.

Storm Prediction Center Risk Regions For June 27

A heat ridge is predicted to build across the eastern USA during late week into the upcoming weekend and next week ( through the Independence Day Holiday ).

European 51-Member Ensemble Mean 500 MB Height Anomalies: Days 1-5

While the 51-Member European Model Ensemble Mean is predicting a classic eastern USA heat ridge to form, local heating will be largely dependent on the amount of clouds and thunderstorms which develops over the mountains during any given day.

European 51-Member Ensemble Mean 500 MB Height Anomalies: Days 6-10

The amount of soil moisture is important to how hot it can get at this time of year, with rainfall during the next few days combining with what has already been observed during June 2018.

NWS Precipitation Analysis and Doppler Estimated Month-to-Date Rainfall